The Ottawa Redblacks will visit Tim Hortons Field in Hamilton to square off against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in a Week 6 East Division matchup. Ottawa is looking to bounce back after dropping a close game in Edmonton. Hamilton comes in off back-to-back wins, including a 51-38 win over Toronto. Here, we break down this contest in the CFL and make our Ottawa Redblacks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats prediction for Saturday.
Our Ottawa Redblacks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats Pick
- Pick: Hamilton Tiger-Cats -5.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Ottawa Redblacks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 12, 2025, 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
- Broadcast: TSN / CTV
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Hamilton -5.5 | Ottawa +200 / Hamilton -245 | 54.5 |
Key Storylines
Recent form
- Ottawa’s 1-4 start includes two straight losses. Their most recent defeat came on the road against the Edmonton Elks. Ottawa gave up 39 points in that contest.
- Hamilton is 2-2. After an 0-2 start, they have earned blowout wins over Montreal and Toronto. They’re trending in the right direction.
Quarterback play
- Bo Levi Mitchell leads the CFL in touchdown passes with 9. He is also second in the league in passing yards behind Toronto’s Nick Arbuckle.
- Ottawa’s quarterback play has been inconsistent. But Dru Brown returned last week and had 316 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions.
Anticipated matchup advantages
- Hamilton’s offense is firing on all cylinders. Their passing game could take advantage of the struggling Ottawa defense.
Recent team streaks
- Hamilton has won two straight to even their record at 2-2 for the season.
- Ottawa has lost four of five and has lost two straight games coming into Week 6.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Hamilton is 2-2 straight up and 2-2 against the spread this season.
- Ottawa is 1-3 straight up and 1-3 against the spread on the year.
- Home/Road splits: Hamilton is 1-1 at home, Ottawa is 1-2 on the road.
- Over/Under trends: Hamilton is 3-1 to the over so far this year. Ottawa is 2-2 on totals for the season.
Ottawa Redblacks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats Model Projection
Score Projection: Hamilton 30 – Ottawa 24
Win Probability: Hamilton 62%, Ottawa 38%
Final Thoughts
The offense of the Hamilton Tiger-Cats is the X-factor in this game as far as I’m concerned. Bo Levi Mitchell has been shredding opposing defenses this season. If he can do that again, the Ti-Cats should cruise at home. But if the Redblacks can get pressure on Mitchell, the RedBlacks could put Hamilton on upset alert. I think we see the Ti-Cats succeed through the air, win this game, and cover the spread at home.
