Pac-12 Basketball Championship Futures Odds: Favorites and Top Contenders
Updated November 11, 2026
Updated November 11, 2026
The 2026-27 college basketball season marks a new era for the Pac-12, with Gonzaga, San Diego State, Utah State and several other programs joining Oregon State and Washington State in a restructured nine-team conference. The race for the 2027 Pac-12 Men's Basketball Tournament championship features those programs looking to make an immediate impact in their new league.
Mark Few's program enters its first Pac-12 season with a talented frontcourt led by Braden Huff.
The reigning Mountain West champions bring proven offensive efficiency to the PAC-12.
Brian Dutcher's program remains a dangerous contender thanks to its defensive identity.
The Rams have the perimeter shooting potential to challenge the conference's leading programs.
Oregon State has the potential to outperform expectations in the conference's inaugural season.
Mark Few's program enters its first Pac-12 season with a talented frontcourt led by Braden Huff.
The reigning Mountain West champions bring proven offensive efficiency to the PAC-12.
Brian Dutcher's program remains a dangerous contender thanks to its defensive identity.
The Rams have the perimeter shooting potential to challenge the conference's leading programs.
Oregon State has the potential to outperform expectations in the conference's inaugural season.
Gonzaga is our prediction to win the 2027 Pac-12 Men's Basketball Tournament. Gonzaga finished the 2025-26 season ranked 15th nationally in KenPom's adjusted efficiency margin and 12th in adjusted defensive efficiency, demonstrating a balance that should translate well into postseason competition. Although those figures are from the previous season's roster, they illustrate the program's ability to win through more than just offensive production.
The Bulldogs' frontcourt should be particularly important against a conference featuring several physical, defense-oriented programs. Braden Huff provides efficient interior scoring, while Massamba Diop adds size and defensive versatility. Gonzaga's ability to generate quality opportunities near the basket, control the offensive glass and limit turnovers gives it multiple paths to victory, even when perimeter shooting becomes inconsistent.
Utah State and San Diego State represent the strongest threats to Gonzaga's championship outlook. Utah State finished 27th nationally in KenPom's 2025-26 adjusted efficiency rankings, while San Diego State ranked 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Both programs have the ability to challenge the Bulldogs and our college basketball predictions in this market, but Gonzaga's overall talent, balance and potential to secure a top-two tournament seed make it the most convincing championship prediction.
Double Byes
The top two regular-season finishers advance directly to the tournament semifinals, dramatically shortening their paths to the championship.
Play-In Game
All nine teams qualify, but the bottom two seeds must compete in a play-in game, creating a significantly more difficult championship path.
Conference Realignment
Gonzaga's transition from the West Coast Conference and the arrival of several Mountain West programs make historical Pac-12 results less useful for evaluating the field.
Viva Las Vegas
The neutral-site format at MGM Grand Garden Arena rewards teams capable of maintaining their performance away from home, particularly against familiar former Mountain West opponents.
