Jonathan Taylor Trade Rumors: Where Will JT Land Next?
Updated November 2, 2026
Updated November 2, 2026
The Indianapolis Colts humiliated themselves on Sunday. Barely putting up a fight, they were annihilated 42-7 by the division rival Jaguars as Trevor Lawrence (210 yds, 3 TDs) and Bayshul Tuten (159 total yds, 2 TDs) put their DeForest Buckner-less defense to the sword.
With the Colts season spiralling and Buckner and three-time All Pro Left Guard Quenton Nelson already traded in the last week, the attention now turns to star running back Jonathan Taylor. Long considered out of reach to potential suitors, reports are now suggesting that the cornerstone of the Colts franchise could now be traded.
So where could Taylor end up? Who can afford to pay his contract? With $15 million due in 2027 and most contenders tight against the cap, the list gets short fast, and Kalshi traders have already picked their favorites.
Prices from Kalshi as of 8:20 a.m. ET, Monday, Nov 2. American odds are converted from the Yes price before fees. Every other outcome, including Taylor staying in Indianapolis, sits at 12% or lower.
Team | Kalshi chance | Yes price | American odds |
|---|---|---|---|
38% | 36¢ | +178 | |
21% | 21¢ | +376 | |
16% | 16¢ | +525 | |
14% | 14¢ | +614 |
Denver is 6-2 after Sunday's 28-24 comeback over the Chiefs, and they're built to win now. J.K. Dobbins has carried the biggest share of the workload, with Jonah Coleman increasingly involved since his return from IR.
Together they are serviceable, but neither of them offer the explosiveness or receiving chops of Taylor, and adding an elite running back to their offense could really push the Broncos over the line
The problem is money. The Broncos had $4.6 million in cap space a week ago, so a Taylor deal almost certainly sends salary back to Indianapolis. Dobbins could potentially go the other way as a makeweight, but the Colts are unlikely to be interested in a veteran with a chequered injury history as they look to rebuild around youth.
For me, the Broncos are significantly overpriced, despite their history of making splash trades to bolster their roster.
The defending champions haven't run the ball the same since Kenneth Walker III left in free agency. That's why they went and got Nelson last week. Zach Charbonnet and Jadarian Price are healthy for Monday night against the Bears, but neither is on Taylor's level.
This would be an unusual move for the Seahawks given that they passed on renewing Super Bowl MVP Walker in the off-season, but it is clear that they, like the Broncos, are in 'win now' mode as they look to retain their title.
Seattle's cap is tight after absorbing Nelson's $9.78 million, so this one would need salary going back too. Traders have noticed anyway: Seattle is up 22 points on the day.
John Harbaugh has said he'd love a bell cow, and his 4-2-1 Giants lead a soft NFC East.
Cam Skattebo is the incumbent, and rumors are swirling about the Giants' cult hero going the oher way as part of the deal.
The catch, per Jordan Schultz, is that New York has balked at the asking price, and the market has cooled on them, down 14 points on the day. At 15 cents, you're paying for Harbaugh's appetite, not a deal on the table.
The Vikings led this market on Sunday morning, then lost 19-15 in Detroit. That game showed why they've been tied to Taylor all month: Minnesota ran for 81 yards while the Lions ran for 230 and wore down a defense that came in allowing a league-low 12.3 points per game.
Aaron Jones is 32 with a nagging knee injury, Jordan Mason is serviceable but unspectacular, and Kyler Murray owns the team's longest run of the season at 35 yards.
First-year GM Nolan Teasley, who came over from Seattle's front office, has asked around about running backs, and is known to have checked in regarding a deal for Taylor.
Cap space is the question mark, and Kevin O'Connell insists he's fine on depth, making Minnesota an increasingly unlikely destination for the Wisconsin product.
The Packers, Bengals and Patriots have also been mentioned in discussions around Taylor's future. Cincinnati is perhaps the most interesting one. Chase Brown has his own next-team market on Kalshi, which hints at a swap if the Bengals get serious.
The Colts have already turned down a 2027 second-round pick plus another selection, according to Tom Pelissero. Their model is the 2022 Christian McCaffrey trade, when San Francisco sent Carolina a second, third and fourth in 2023 plus a 2024 fifth.
That's a big ask for a running back, but Taylor isn't a rental. He signed a two-year, $44 million extension in August ($39 million guaranteed) that runs through 2028, with $15 million due in 2027 and $9.46 million in 2028. His $15 million signing bonus stays on Indy's books.
The résumé holds up too. He's 27, a 2021 first-team All-Pro and a three-time Pro Bowler who led the league in rushing touchdowns in 2021 and 2025.
He's second in Colts history in rushing yards (8,185) behind Edgerrin James and first in rushing scores (77). Even after Sunday's dud, he has 610 rushing yards and a league-leading eight rushing touchdowns through eight games.
On the other side, the Colts get nothing from losing. Their 2027 first-round pick belongs to the Jets from last year's Sauce Gardner trade, so trading veterans is the fastest way to restock. That's the strongest argument against the Colts holding him.
Denver is still the most likely single landing spot, but 34 cents is a little high for my liking.
I'm more interested in Seattle at 21 cents (+376).
Interim Colts GM Ed Dodds spent 2007 to 2016 in Seattle's front office alongside John Schneider, and the Seahawks GM has made a significant midseason trade four years running: Leonard Williams in 2023, Ernest Jones IV in 2024, Rashid Shaheed in 2025 and Nelson this year. The need is obvious, the relationship is there, and Seattle still prices below Denver.
It's a value position, not a prediction that Seattle is the favorite. If you'd rather back the chalk, wait for Monday night's Bears game and the next round of reporting before buying Denver at this number.
Prices move fast on this market. Check Kalshi for the live number before you trade.
