The Ottawa Senators head into Friday night’s road game against the St. Louis Blues as the hotter team. Fresh off a dramatic 4–3 shootout win over the Vegas Golden Knights, Ottawa has rattled off three wins in four games. The Blues have been struggling, but they are back on home ice after an extended road trip and will try to get themselves back on track here. Before the puck drops in St. Louis, continue reading for my Senators vs Blues prediction.
Our Senators vs Blues Pick
Pick: Blues Moneyline
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Ottawa Senators vs St. Louis Blues
- Date & Time: Friday, November 28, 2025, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Recent Form
Ottawa has gained real traction lately. Their 4–3 shootout win over Vegas featured standout performances from a couple of key contributors. Jake Sanderson had a goal and two assists, while Shane Pinto netted the decisive shootout goal. The Senators are now 3-1 in their last four games and 6-2-2 over their last 10. The Blues have lost two games in a row and they’ve posted just one win in their last five games. Their -25 goal differential is the second worst in the NHL so far this season.
Goaltending
For Ottawa, Linus Ullmark is expected to get the start today. His GAA is just under 3.00 for the season and he will try to deliver the Sens a win in this matchup. On the St. Louis side, Jordan Binnington has been the go-to in goal. But his GAA has crept over 3.00 and Ottawa’s forwards will test him in this contest.
Key Skaters
On offense, Shane Pinto has emerged as a top contributor for Ottawa, and Tim Stutzle remains dangerous as well. Both have been key to the Senators’ ability to generate offense lately. For the Blues, players like Dylan Holloway and Justin Faulk have tried to spark their attack, but no player has more than 6 goals so far this season for St. Louis and that is a major concern.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | Over 0.5 points |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | Over 0.5 points |
| Dylan Holloway (STL) | Over 0.5 points |
Betting Trends & H2H
- When Ottawa wins games, many have been tight. This season, 5 of their 12 victories this season have come by just one goal.
- The Senators have a decent record when outshooting opponents (6–5–0).
- The Blues are 2–6–2 when outshooting opponents and have done poorly when opponents fire more shots than they do as well.
- This is the first game between the Senators and Blues this season.
Senators vs Blues Model Projection
Score Projection: Ottawa 2 – St. Louis 3
Win Probability: Ottawa 50%, St. Louis 50%
Final Thoughts
The Blues have been struggling lately, but I’m not going to hold that against them too harshly given that they have been on the road for so many games in a row. I’ll take the Blues as an underdog to get a win that they desperately need now that they are back on their home rink.
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