The Montreal Canadiens will head into Friday night’s game against the Vegas Golden Knights as underdogs. But there is very little separating these teams going into this contest at T-Mobile Arena. The Knights have dropped three games in a row and will try to end that losing streak here. Can the Knights get it done? Continue reading to get my Canadiens vs Golden Knights prediction for Friday night.
Our Canadiens vs Golden Knights Pick
Pick: Over 5.5
Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Montreal Canadiens @ Vegas Golden Knights
- Date & Time: Friday, November 28, 2025, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Recent form
Vegas enters this contest on a three-game losing streak, a rare stretch of poor form for the Golden Knights. Normally, the Golden Knights would be confident being back at home in a spot like this one. But the Knights have been struggling and they will try to turn things around here. For Montreal, the last ten games have seen them go 3-4-3. They have won two games in a row, though, beating the Utah Mammoth and Toronto Maple Leafs over their last two games.
Goaltending
Sam Montembeault and Akira Schmid will feature in net for their respective teams in this game. Montembeault’s numbers are not the best on the Canadiens this season in net. But he should still get the nod over Jakub Dobes in this matchup. Schmid of the Golden Knights has seen way more action than expected this year in the absence of Adin Hill and Schmid has been solid with a 2.47 GAA.
Key skaters
Jack Eichel remains the offensive engine for Vegas with 11 goals and 20 assists this season. He’s been so dangerous with the puck, thanks to his ability to both score and facilitate. Montreal is led by the duo of Nick Suzuki and Cole Caulfield. Suzuki has 19 assists so far this season and his ability to distribute the puck is incredibly valuable for the Habs.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Jack Eichel (VGK) | Over 0.5 points |
| Lane Hutson (MTL) | Over 0.5 assists |
| Nicholas Suzuki (MTL) | Over 0.5 points |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first meeting between these teams so far this season.
- Montreal is 9-13 in the puckline market going into this matchup.
- The Habs have gone over the total in 16 of their first 26 games.
- Vegas is just 7-16 on the puckline this year.
- The over is 12-11 in Vegas’ games so far this year.
Canadiens vs Golden Knights Model Projection
Score Projection: Vegas 4 – Montreal 2
Win Probability: Vegas 62%, Montreal 38%
Final Thoughts
My best bet for this contest is for it to go over the total in Vegas. Montreal has been steadily racking up overs so far this season. I expect that to continue here in a game where Vegas should come out sharp as they aim to end their recent losing streak.
Affiliate Disclosure
ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
