Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Will Dissly projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans on Jan 11, 2025
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
With a 62.2% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Chargers.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Will Dissly is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile among tight ends with 5.0 targets.
Will Dissly's 14.5% Target Share this year shows a noteable progression in his pass game volume over last year's 3.5% mark.
Will Dissly has put up many more air yards this year (19.0 per game) than he did last year (2.0 per game).
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.
Will Dissly's 81.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a meaningful decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 89.4% figure.
Will Dissly's 7.9 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 9.1 figure.
This year, the imposing Texans defense has allowed a paltry 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the best rate in the NFL.
Will Dissly is projected to have 35.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
With a 62.2% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Chargers.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Will Dissly is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile among tight ends with 5.0 targets.
Will Dissly's 14.5% Target Share this year shows a noteable progression in his pass game volume over last year's 3.5% mark.
Will Dissly's 3.3 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 1.4 rate.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.
Will Dissly's 81.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a meaningful decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 89.4% figure.
This year, the imposing Texans defense has allowed a paltry 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the best rate in the NFL.
The Texans defensive ends grade out as the 7th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
Will Dissly is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
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