Jay Sanin on January 15, 2025
Nico Collins projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 18, 2025
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Nico Collins to accrue 10.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Nico Collins is projected to have 6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Nico Collins to accrue 10.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Nico Collins is projected to have 80.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
