Jay Sanin on December 15, 2024
Kylen Granson projections and prop bets for Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos on Dec 15, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
This week's line implies a passing game script for the Colts, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
The Indianapolis O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 49.4% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The 2nd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.6 per game on average).
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
After accruing 27.0 air yards per game last year, Kylen Granson has produced significantly less this year, currently averaging 19.0 per game.
Kylen Granson has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (8.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
Kylen Granson is projected to have 9.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
