Jay Sanin on December 15, 2024
Jordan Akins projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns on Dec 15, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 141.1 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).
This year, the porous Chiefs defense has surrendered a colossal 70.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the most in the NFL.
The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Browns O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Jordan Akins profiles as one of the bottom tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 12th percentile.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Kansas City's unit has been very good this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.
Jordan Akins is projected to have 31.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
