Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 3, 2024

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns
  • Overview
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J.K. Dobbins Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

J.K. Dobbins projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans on Jan 11, 2025

J.K. Dobbins Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 62.5 over: -115
  • Rushing Yards 62.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.7 carries.

J.K. Dobbins has been given 53.5% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

With a remarkable total of 70.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (92nd percentile), J.K. Dobbins places among the best RBs in football this year.

With an outstanding rate of 4.70 adjusted yards per carry (78th percentile), J.K. Dobbins ranks among the top pure rushers in football this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

With a 37.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Chargers.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This year, the porous Houston Texans run defense has been gouged for a staggering 4.20 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 19th-biggest rate in football.

Projection For J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop Bet

J.K. Dobbins is projected to have 61.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


J.K. Dobbins Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 14.5 over: -145
  • Carries 14.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.7 carries.

J.K. Dobbins has been given 53.5% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

With a 37.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Chargers.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Houston's group of DEs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection For J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop Bet

J.K. Dobbins is projected to have 14.9 Carries in this weeks game.


J.K. Dobbins Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: 145
  • Receptions 2.5 under: -180

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

With a 62.2% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Chargers.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this contest, J.K. Dobbins is expected by the projection model to slot into the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.

With a sizeable 10.1% Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins rates among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

J.K. Dobbins grades out as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 2.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has given up a paltry 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

The Texans defensive ends grade out as the 7th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Projection For J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop Bet

J.K. Dobbins is projected to have 2.6 Receptions in this weeks game.


J.K. Dobbins Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 62.2% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Chargers.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this contest, J.K. Dobbins is expected by the projection model to slot into the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.

With a sizeable 10.1% Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins rates among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

J.K. Dobbins comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs, hauling in a terrific 89.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.

As it relates to air yards, J.K. Dobbins ranks in the lowly 11th percentile among running backs this year, with just -3.0 per game.

With a weak 4.3 adjusted yards per target (8th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins stands among the bottom running backs in the pass game in the NFL.

This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has given up a paltry 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

Projection For J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop Bet

J.K. Dobbins is projected to have 15.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-135
-115
-116
-111
Consensus
-
+500
-
+550
Consensus
-
+420
-
+500
Consensus
-
+380
-
+420
Consensus
-
+260
-
+230
Consensus
-
+195
-
+220
Consensus
-
+500
-
+550
-
+105
-
+100
-
+460
-
+410
-
+420
-
+350
-
+600
-
+500
-
+250
-
+220
-
+195
-
+210
-
+500
-
+550
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
Consensus
-126
-
-
+104
-142
-
-
+106
-125
-
-
-101
-119
-
-
+100
-135
-
-
+100
-135
-
-
+105
-146
-
-
+112
-140
-
-
+102
-135
-
-
+100
-140
-
-
+100
-
+165
-200
-
-
+160
-225
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
91
94
88
89
87
95
93
90
92
86
94
92
88
95
90
87
89
86
91
93
91
94
88
89
87
95
93
90
92
86
94
92
88
95
90
87
89
86
91
93
Consensus
-112
-115
-112
-117
-
-115
-117
-114
-115
-
-118
-118
-118
-119
-121
-
-123
-
-121
-115
-112
-115
-110
-110
-
-117
-120
-117
-117
-
-118
-115
-120
-122
-121
-
-116
-
-121
-113
-
-119
-
-109
-
-119
-119
-113
-119
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-121
-
-125
-
-
-115
-
-119
-
-109
-
-111
-119
-109
-119
-
-115
-115
-
-123
-125
-
-125
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-115
-120
-110
-120
-120
-120
-
-115
-120
-120
-120
-115
-115
-
-110
-110
-120
-110
-115
-120
-120
-115
-120
-115
-120
-115
-
-110
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
71
66
73
17
70
76
16
67
74
68
69
72
65
15
64
69
66
17
73
71
70
76
16
72
67
65
74
15
68
64
71
66
73
17
70
76
16
67
74
68
69
72
65
15
64
69
66
17
73
71
70
76
16
72
67
65
74
15
68
64
Consensus
-116
-118
-107
-
-107
-
-
-112
-113
-113
-111
-110
-
-
-
-119
-118
-
-117
-115
-118
-
-
-115
-112
-
-117
-
-117
-
-114
-113
-111
-
-116
-
-
-112
-113
-113
-111
-115
-
-
-
-119
-117
-
-117
-117
-115
-
-
-115
-113
-
-112
-
-117
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-115
-106
-115
-
-113
-
-
-109
-113
-115
-109
-115
-
-
-
-125
-129
-
-119
-121
-121
-
-
-119
-119
-
-121
-
-119
-
-113
-104
-115
-
-113
-
-
-115
-113
-115
-109
-115
-
-
-
-125
-131
-
-119
-119
-121
-
-
-119
-125
-
-121
-
-119
-
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-110
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-120
-
-120
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-115
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-120
-120
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-120
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-113
-113
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-110
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-113
-110
-120
-115
-115
-
-110
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-115
-110
-
-115
-120
-130
-
-
-115
-120
-110
-115
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-115
-120
-110
-115
-
-115
-
-110
-125
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-125
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+568
+541
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2150
+2000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
18
18
17
17
18
18
17
Consensus
-120
-118
-118
-110
-118
-105
-125
-113
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-120
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-115
-120
-110
-110
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
16
18
17
16
18
17
16
18
17
16
18
Consensus
-123
-130
-102
-111
-103
-128
-115
-130
-102
-111
+100
-128
-110
-130
-
-120
+100
-
-110
-125
-
-120
+105
-
-108
-
-102
-120
-
-128
-128
-
-102
-108
-
-128
-120
-130
-
-120
+100
-
-120
-135
-
-125
+105
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
16
18
15
17
16
18
15
17
16
18
15
17
16
18
15
Consensus
-111
-119
-
-
-116
-111
-
-
-114
-119
-
-
-118
-111
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-125
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-110
-120
-115
-
-115
-110
-115
-
-115
-120
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-
+104
-110
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-105
-110
-
-110
-115
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
-110
-
-115
-110
-120
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-115
-110
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-115
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
11
11
11
11
Consensus
-111
-119
-119
-110
-109
-115
-119
-113
-120
-110
-125
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+17000
+18000
+16000
+18000