Jay Sanin on October 20, 2024
Deebo Samuel projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers on Oct 20, 2024
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The 49ers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.3 plays per game.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.8 per game) this year.
The model projects Deebo Samuel to total 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Deebo Samuel has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 21.6% this year, which ranks in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projections to call only 61.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Deebo Samuel's 60.8% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a remarkable decline in his receiving talent over last year's 69.3% mark.
This year, the formidable Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed a paltry 58.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Deebo Samuel is projected to have 4.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The 49ers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.3 plays per game.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.8 per game) this year.
The model projects Deebo Samuel to total 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Deebo Samuel has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 21.6% this year, which ranks in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
After accumulating 46.0 air yards per game last season, Deebo Samuel has been rising this season, currently averaging 64.0 per game.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projections to call only 61.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Deebo Samuel's 60.8% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a remarkable decline in his receiving talent over last year's 69.3% mark.
Deebo Samuel's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, compiling just 9.30 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.36 rate last year.
This year, the formidable Chiefs defense has yielded a mere 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-fewest in football.
This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a paltry 6.7 yards.
Deebo Samuel is projected to have 62.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
