Bills -2 (-110) over Chiefs
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- The Chiefs are undefeated this season, but they are so fortunate to be that way after trailing in the bulk of their games this season so far.
- Buffalo is 4-0 at home so far this season and they should protect their home field again here.
When it comes to online sports betting, wagering on the NFL is king. All season long, we have you covered with the best nfl picks and betting predictions each week, The ATS.io team of expert NFL handicappers looks through the slate of games each week and finds the best bets to help you build your bankroll.
NFL Best Bets For Week 11
NFL Best Bet #1: Bills -2 (-110) over Chiefs
Our best bet in the NFL in Week 11 is for the Buffalo Bills to win and cover the spread at home against the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City is undefeated so far this season, but they have had some close calls throughout their run so far this year. We expect their luck to run out this week against a Bills team that has yet to suffer a loss at home so far in 2024.
2024 NFL Best Bets Record: 8-10-1 (-2.90 units)
2023 NFL Best Bets Record: 23-15-1 (+6.91 units)
NFL Best Bets At ATS.io
With a ton of NFL betting options available each week, it is hard to decide what to bet on and what to avoid. Fortunately, our expert NFL handicappers do the hard work for you, breaking down each game and coming up with the best ways to find value in the National Football League. Be sure to come back here each week for the latest best bets in the NFL, from the biggest games of the week to the least attractive games on the board.
What is the best type of bet on the NFL?
When it comes to NFL betting, Moneyline wagers are often touted as a top choice. They are considered one of the easiest NFL football bets to win. The reason behind this preference is that pro football games frequently adhere to expected outcomes. Betting on the Moneyline can be a reliable strategy for NFL bettors. To enhance your success rate, consider utilizing our NFL expert picks to inform your betting decisions.
How Do We Make Our Best NFL Bets?
Our NFL best bets are selected using a number of methods. Our NFL betting experts use their own modeling to set their own lines, comparing them to the actual NFL odds from online sportsbooks to determine where there is value in the betting market. But that is just the beginning of the processes that they use to determine which wagers make the cut for each week of the NFL schedule.
Along with doing their own modeling, our NFL handicappers make sure to examine the statistics, injury reports, and all other pertinent information surrounding each team going into each week. While the NFL is the hardest betting market to beat year in and year out, our team does everything it can to find the most value in the marketplace every week.
Types of Best Bets ATS.io Makes In The NFL
At ATS.io, we cover NFL betting markets like props, parlays, and teasers on the pages that we have linked to below. For our best NFL bets each week, bettors will generally find one of the following types of bets here on a regular basis.
Point Spread
The point spread is by far the most popular betting market when wagering on football. The goal of this market is for bettors to predict which side will end up with a higher score after the point spread is applied to each game. For example, if a team is favored by six points in a game, they have to win by seven or more points to cover the spread. If a team is a six-point underdog, they just need to lose by five or fewer points or win the game in order to cover.
In the NFL, no point spread is safe until a game is fully over. Late offensive and defensive touchdowns can have an impact on any point spread wager in any game, and bettors should be mindful of that before they place any wagers in this market every year in the NFL.
Over/Under Picks
Another incredibly popular type of NFL best bet is the over/under, which asks bettors to predict how much scoring will happen in each NFL game. Sportsbooks will set a total for each game, and bettors are then asked to predict whether the score of the game will go over or under that amount. For example, a sportsbook may set a total for a game at 45.5 points. If the total score of the game is 46 points or more, the over will be the winner, while 45 or fewer points will mean the under is the winning side.
The key to betting on over/unders in the NFL is understanding the ways both teams play football. Everything from individual matchups to the tempos that teams use can greatly impact the outcome of any over/under bet. Fortunately, we break down all of those elements before recommending any over/under wager.
Moneyline Picks
Moneyline betting is incredibly easy for bettors to understand, as the goal is to simply predict which team will win each NFL game. Of course, predicting which team will win any NFL game is easier said than done, as even the worst teams in the NFL find a way to spring upsets on their opponents from time to time. But we work to find instances where the chance of winning is greater than the odds for that game, to deliver maximum value in the moneyline betting market.
Does ATS Use A Computer To Generate Picks?
NFL computer picks are a part of the betting strategy here at ATS, as our handicappers do their own modeling using data that they collect from each NFL season. All of that work is done by our in-house handicappers to identify unique betting opportunities that cannot be found anywhere else. That is what makes ATS your one-stop shop for all of the best NFL bets this week and every week.
What Are The Best NFL Betting Strategies
Strategy is everything when betting on the NFL, as avoiding impulsive betting is the key to success in a league that sportsbooks have perfected from an odds making standpoint. Fortunately, our NFL experts have their strategies for betting on the NFL, which include the strategic elements listed below.
Look At Historical Data Intelligently
Every week in the NFL, you will see trends cited as reasons to bet on NFL games. Sometimes, those trends are worthwhile, while other times those trends are completely worthless. Bettors should always apply proper context to the trends that they are using in order to make the smartest possible wagers. We always take a closer look at the data we use to justify our selections to give you the best possible recommendations.
Injury Reports Are Your Friend
Quarterback play and skill position players are the most popular players in the NFL, but diving into injury reports at other positions is essential to success betting on football. Understanding which key players at less glamorous positions are out can help bettors understand why betting lines are set the way they are. If nothing else, this will help you make the most informed decisions possible on a weekly basis.
Use Proper Bankroll Management
More important than anything else is the fact that bettors should manage their betting bankroll responsibly. Wins and losses will come every week in the NFL, and managing your money properly is the key to maximizing those wins and overcoming the losses without significant financial damage. Bettors should wager the same amount on each NFL game, stick to their top picks, and avoid chasing losses to be as financially sound as possible.
Want More? Check Out Our Other NFL Picks & Predictions
Along with our best NFL bets this week listed above, bettors should click the links below to get our best picks in a number of other areas of NFL betting.
