Miami Heat
07:30 PM
ATS Picks on April 2, 2025
Read Projection
Points Prop Odds:
Points 8.5 over: -115
Points 8.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop
Alec Burks has tallied 11.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
Alec Burks has sunk 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
Alec Burks has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 18th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 47.7% rate of sunk threes rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Boston is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).
Trends Favoring The Under Points Shots Prop
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
Alec Burks will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance across the board.
Alec Burks is projected to have 7.1 Points in today's game.
Read Less
Read Projection
Made 3 Point Shots Prop Odds:
Made 3 Point Shots 2.5 over: 150
Made 3 Point Shots 2.5 under: -185
Trends Favoring The Over Made 3 Point Shots Prop
Alec Burks has sunk 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
Alec Burks has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 18th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 47.7% rate of sunk threes rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Boston is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).
The matchup vs. Jrue Holiday is a favorable one for three-point shots; when guarding opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk a massive 36.0% of their attempts from downtown (86th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Made 3 Point Shots Shots Prop
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alec Burks will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance across the board.
Alec Burks is projected to have 1.4 Made 3 Point Shots in today's game.
Read Less
