Seth Lugo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Houston Astros have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future

The #1 field in the league for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Seth Lugo's curveball percentage has fallen by 5.6% from last year to this one (26.3% to 20.7%) .

Out of all SPs, Seth Lugo's fastball velocity of 91.4 mph ranks in the 17th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.

With 8 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Seth Lugo figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Houston's 90-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #30 squad in MLB this year by this metric.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 19.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 19.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Seth Lugo is projected to throw 98 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers today.

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.

With 8 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Seth Lugo figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Houston Astros have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future

The #1 field in the league for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Seth Lugo's curveball percentage has fallen by 5.6% from last year to this one (26.3% to 20.7%) .

Out of all SPs, Seth Lugo's fastball velocity of 91.4 mph ranks in the 17th percentile this year.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 18.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 130

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -166

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Seth Lugo is projected to throw 98 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.

With 8 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Seth Lugo figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Seth Lugo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.30 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.88 — a 1.58 K/9 difference.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Houston Astros (20.6 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone group of hitters on the slate today.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #29 field in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Seth Lugo's curveball percentage has fallen by 5.6% from last year to this one (26.3% to 20.7%) .

Out of all SPs, Seth Lugo's fastball velocity of 91.4 mph ranks in the 17th percentile this year.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.