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Gavin Williams

Cleveland Guardians

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Baltimore Orioles

06:35 PM

Apr 16, 2025

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Cleveland Guardians

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -120

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gavin Williams in the 78th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians's expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 34%.

Gavin Williams has utilized his slider 20% more often this season (31.3%) than he did last season (11.3%).

Among all starters, Gavin Williams's fastball velocity of 96.2 mph grades out in the 93rd percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Gavin Williams faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Williams in today's matchup.

In his previous start, Gavin Williams wasn't on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Gavin Williams is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -105

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gavin Williams in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians's expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #29 stadium in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 34%.

Gavin Williams was in good form in his previous outing and gave up 2 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Tallying 14.1 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, Gavin Williams falls in the 8th percentile.

The 3rd-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Gavin Williams faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Williams in today's matchup.

Gavin Williams is projected to have 14.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 3rd-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Gavin Williams faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Williams in today's matchup.

The 9.1% Barrel% of the Baltimore Orioles ranks them as the #5 offense in the majors since the start of last season by this stat.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gavin Williams in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians's expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #29 stadium in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 34%.

Gavin Williams was in good form in his previous outing and gave up 2 ER.

Gavin Williams is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Gavin Williams Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-111)
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (105)
-
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-113)
un 4.5 (-121)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (126)
un 2.5 (-176)
ov 2.5 (125)
un 2.5 (-175)
-
ov 2.5 (125)
un 2.5 (-175)
-
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (-101)
un 15.5 (-136)
ov 15.5 (100)
un 15.5 (-135)
ov 15.5 (-102)
un 15.5 (-135)
ov 15.5 (-105)
un 15.5 (-135)
ov 15.5 (100)
un 15.5 (-137)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (101)
un 5.5 (-134)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-120)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-128)
ov 5.5 (-120)
un 5.5 (-110)
ov 5.5 (108)
un 5.5 (-148)
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-125)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-152)
un 1.5 (108)
ov 1.5 (-150)
un 1.5 (105)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-154)
un 1.5 (112)
-

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