Frankie Montas projections, stats and prop bet odds for Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves on Jul 24, 2024
Frankie Montas Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -108
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -127
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Atlanta Braves have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season
The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-highest humidity on the slate at 76%.
The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Today’s version of the Braves projected batting order is a bit watered down, as their .313 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .331 overall projected rate.
Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in the league.
With 6 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Frankie Montas figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Out of all SPs, Frankie Montas's fastball velocity of 94.7 mph grades out in the 76th percentile this year.
Frankie Montas has been unlucky this year, posting a 4.85 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.22 — a 0.63 discrepancy.
Projection For Today's Frankie Montas Earned Runs Prop Bet
Frankie Montas is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in todays game.
Frankie Montas Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -150
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Tallying 93.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Frankie Montas places in the 85th percentile.
The Atlanta Braves have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Short, Jarred Kelenic, Adam Duvall).
With 6 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Frankie Montas figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Out of all SPs, Frankie Montas's fastball velocity of 94.7 mph grades out in the 76th percentile this year.
Frankie Montas has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.28 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.51 — a 1.23 K/9 gap.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-highest humidity on the slate at 76%.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Frankie Montas in today's matchup.
Projection For Today's Frankie Montas Strikeouts Prop Bet
Frankie Montas is projected to have 5.7 Strikeouts in todays game.
Frankie Montas Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -110
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Tallying 93.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Frankie Montas places in the 85th percentile.
Today’s version of the Braves projected batting order is a bit watered down, as their .313 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .331 overall projected rate.
Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in the league.
With 6 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Frankie Montas figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Out of all SPs, Frankie Montas's fastball velocity of 94.7 mph grades out in the 76th percentile this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The Atlanta Braves have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season
The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-highest humidity on the slate at 76%.
The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.
Projection For Today's Frankie Montas Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Frankie Montas is projected to have 16.8 Pitching Outs in todays game.
