Reynaldo Lopez MLB projections and prop bets for Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves on Sep 28, 2024
Reynaldo Lopez Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -128
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 102
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Reynaldo Lopez in the 91st percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Reynaldo Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.
In his previous GS, Reynaldo Lopez was on point and posted 11 strikeouts.
Reynaldo Lopez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2127 rpm) has been considerably higher than than his seasonal rate (2072 rpm).
Ranking in the 85th percentile, Reynaldo Lopez has notched a 26.6% strikeout rate this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Reynaldo Lopez to be limited in today's game, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.8% underlying K%.
Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
Reynaldo Lopez's fastball spin rate has dropped 117 rpm this season (2072 rpm) below where it was last year (2189 rpm).
Projection For Reynaldo Lopez Strikeouts Prop Bet
Reynaldo Lopez is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
