Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction - 10/11/2025
Updated October 11, 2025
Updated October 11, 2025
The Toronto Maple Leafs will visit the Detroit Red Wings on Saturday night. Toronto enters the game fresh off a 5–2 opening-night victory over Montreal, while Detroit dropped the opening game of their season to the Habs. Before these Eastern Conference opponents face off on the ice, continue reading to get my Maple Leafs vs Red Wings prediction.
Odds | Moneyline | Puckline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Toronto | −150 | −1.5 (+160) | Over 6.5 |
Detroit | +130 | +1.5 (−190) | Under 6.5 |
Toronto’s starter is Anthony Stolarz, who in his most recent outing posted a solid 2.01 goals-against average and a .935 save percentage. Detroit went with John Gibson in their opener, but he allowed 5 goals on just 13 shots before being pulled. Cam Talbot came in as relief and Detroit’s goaltending is under early scrutiny after such a shaky start.
Player | Stat Type | Projection |
|---|---|---|
William Nylander | Points | Over 1.5 |
Auston Matthews | Goals | Over 0.5 |
Dylan Larkin | Points | Over 0.5 |
Score Projection: Toronto 3 – Detroit 4
Win Probability: Toronto 48%, Detroit 52%
I think we will see both of these teams settle in somewhere in between where we saw them in their first games of the year. Toronto won't be as good as they were in their destruction of the Habs, while the Red Wings won't look as bad as they did in their opener. I'll take the Red Wings to get a win at home as an underdog, as both teams should move to 1-1 on the season.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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