Demario Douglas Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Demario Douglas projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills on Dec 22, 2024

Demario Douglas Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 33.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 33.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Patriots are a heavy 14-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (35.1 per game) this year.

Demario Douglas's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 64.1% to 79.2%.

Demario Douglas checks in as one of the leading wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 80th percentile.

This year, the poor Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded a colossal 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Patriots have been the 9th-least pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.6% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Demario Douglas has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Projection For Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Demario Douglas is projected to have 39.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.