Jay Sanin on November 21, 2024
Adam Trautman projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders on Nov 24, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Broncos offense has played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Adam Trautman's 12.4 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a significant progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 6.8 rate.
Adam Trautman profiles as one of the best tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 90th percentile.
With a 5.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Adam Trautman has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
Adam Trautman's 7.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 17.9.
Adam Trautman is projected to have 11.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
