Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Props – 1/6/2026

The Miami Heat travel to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday night in an important inter-conference game in the NBA. Both teams are right on the border between being a play-in tournament team and a proper playoff team so far this season. They are looking for a key victory to help them solidify a place in the top six in their respective conferences. Here, I break down this matchup in the NBA and give you my Heat vs Timberwolves prediction.

Our Heat vs Timberwolves Pick

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Miami Heat @ Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date & Time: January 6, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Broadcast: NBC

Key Storylines

• The Timberwolves (23-13) have been playing solid basketball, winning six of their last 10 and holding a home record of 12-6. This gives them a slight edge playing in front of their crowd.
• Minnesota dominated the most recent meeting between these teams, defeating Miami 125-115 on January 3, with Anthony Edwards scoring 33 points. Naz Reid also contributed in a big way off the bench in that game. That result snapped Miami’s four-game winning streak, while starting a two-game winning streak for the Wolves.
• Miami (20-16) comes in averaging over 120 points per game and has won five of its last games. Their lone loss during that span came against these same Timberwolves. Norman Powell has been a key scorer for the Heat, averaging in the mid-20s, with strong efficiency from three-point range.
• Injuries continue to impact both squads. The Heat are dealing with Jaime Jaquez Jr.’s ankle injury and Tyler Herro listed as day-to-day. The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr. due to a foot issue. These absences could influence the rotations on both sides, but the Wolves are definitely the healthier of these two teams.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves have won the last two games against the Heat, including their recent 125-115 victory in Miami.
• Minnesota is 15-21 against the spread going into this contest.
• Miami is 21-15 against the spread entering Tuesday night.
• Both teams have stayed under the total in 19 of their 36 games.

Best Player Props to Watch

Heat vs Timberwolves Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.