Zebby Matthews MLB projections and prop bets for Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins on Sep 28, 2024
Zebby Matthews Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -120
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) calling pitches in this game.
Zebby Matthews will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Among all starting pitchers, Zebby Matthews's fastball velocity of 94.3 mph ranks in the 77th percentile this year.
Placing in the 87th percentile, Zebby Matthews has put up a 25.9% Strikeout% this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zebby Matthews to throw 77 pitches today (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Zebby Matthews encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Zebby Matthews has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.87 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.46 — a 1.41 K/9 gap.
Projection For Zebby Matthews Strikeouts Prop Bet
Zebby Matthews is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
