Triston McKenzie Prop projections for Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds on Jun 11, 2024

Triston McKenzie Player Prop: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -105
  • Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-lowest humidity of all games today at 37%.

Triston McKenzie has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.

The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston McKenzie to throw 84 pitches today (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Cincinnati Reds offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

David Fry, the Guardians's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 field in the majors for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league.

Triston McKenzie Pitching Outs Prop Projection

Triston McKenzie is projected to have 14.5 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Triston McKenzie Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -135
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -101

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Cincinnati Reds offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

David Fry, the Guardians's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 field in the majors for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league.

Triston McKenzie is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-lowest humidity of all games today at 37%.

Triston McKenzie has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.

The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Triston McKenzie Earned Runs Prop Projection

Triston McKenzie is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in todays game.


Triston McKenzie Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: -159
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-lowest humidity of all games today at 37%.

Triston McKenzie has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.

Triston McKenzie was rolling in his last GS and put up 7 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston McKenzie to throw 84 pitches today (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

David Fry, the Guardians's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Given that flyball hitters hold a substantial edge over groundball pitchers, Triston McKenzie and his 40.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome spot in this matchup going up against 1 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Triston McKenzie today.

Triston McKenzie Strikeouts Prop Projection

Triston McKenzie is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in todays game.