Ryne Nelson projections, stats and prop bet odds for Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers on Jul 2, 2024
Ryne Nelson Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -110
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Teoscar Hernandez, Cavan Biggio, Andy Pages).
Ryne Nelson has gone to his cutter 7.3% more often this year (22.1%) than he did last season (14.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryne Nelson in the 11th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
Projected catcher Tucker Barnhart profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryne Nelson today.
Ryne Nelson’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2171 rpm) has been considerably lower than than his seasonal rate (2225 rpm).
Checking in at the 10th percentile, Ryne Nelson posted an 8.1% Swinging Strike rate this year.
Projection For Today's Ryne Nelson Strikeouts Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson is projected to have 3.3 Strikeouts in todays game.
Ryne Nelson Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 112
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -146
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson has gone to his cutter 7.3% more often this year (22.1%) than he did last season (14.8%).
With a 1.2 difference between Ryne Nelson's 5.69 ERA and his 4.49 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and should see positive regression in future games.
Ryne Nelson has compiled a .339 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play with better performance likely coming.
Ryne Nelson's 75th percentile BB% (6.1% this year) shows his good control ability.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Ryne Nelson's overall pitching ability ranks in the 20th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball currently.
Generating 14.6 outs per game per started this year on average, Ryne Nelson ranks in the 15th percentile.
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order projects as the 2nd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.
Projected catcher Tucker Barnhart profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best park in the majors for home runs.
Projection For Today's Ryne Nelson Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson is projected to have 15.1 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Ryne Nelson Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 3.5 over: 128
- Earned Runs 3.5 under: -161
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Ryne Nelson's overall pitching ability ranks in the 20th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball currently.
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order projects as the 2nd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.
Projected catcher Tucker Barnhart profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best park in the majors for home runs.
Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson has gone to his cutter 7.3% more often this year (22.1%) than he did last season (14.8%).
With a 1.2 difference between Ryne Nelson's 5.69 ERA and his 4.49 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and should see positive regression in future games.
Ryne Nelson has compiled a .339 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play with better performance likely coming.
Projection For Today's Ryne Nelson Earned Runs Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson is projected to have 3.4 Earned Runs in todays game.
