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Ryan Pepiot

Tampa Bay Rays

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Tampa Bay Rays

07:35 PM

Jun 5, 2025

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Texas Rangers

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Texas Rangers projected offense profiles as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Texas Rangers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) in charge of the strike zone today.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ryan Pepiot has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.21 mark is considerably lower than his 4.36 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ryan Pepiot will hold that advantage today.

In his last game started, Ryan Pepiot was on point and conceded 1 ER.

Ryan Pepiot has relied on his four-seam fastball 6.9% less often this season (43.8%) than he did last year (50.7%).

Among all starting pitchers, Ryan Pepiot's fastball spin rate of 2398 rpm is in the 77th percentile this year.

The Texas Rangers as a group place 26th- overall in the majors this year as it relates to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.

Ryan Pepiot is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -160

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Recording 17.5 outs per start this year on average, Ryan Pepiot ranks in the 87th percentile.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ryan Pepiot will hold that advantage today.

In his last game started, Ryan Pepiot was on point and conceded 1 ER.

Ryan Pepiot has relied on his four-seam fastball 6.9% less often this season (43.8%) than he did last year (50.7%).

Among all starting pitchers, Ryan Pepiot's fastball spin rate of 2398 rpm is in the 77th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Texas Rangers projected offense profiles as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Texas Rangers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) in charge of the strike zone today.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ryan Pepiot has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.21 mark is considerably lower than his 4.36 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Ryan Pepiot is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ryan Pepiot will hold that advantage today.

Ryan Pepiot was rolling in his previous game started and compiled 8 strikeouts.

Ryan Pepiot has relied on his four-seam fastball 6.9% less often this season (43.8%) than he did last year (50.7%).

Among all starting pitchers, Ryan Pepiot's fastball spin rate of 2398 rpm is in the 77th percentile this year.

Considering the 1.33 deviation between Ryan Pepiot's 7.20 K/9 and his 8.53 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see positive regression the rest of the season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) in charge of the strike zone today.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ryan Pepiot is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Ryan Pepiot Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-167)
un 4.5 (122)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-145)
-
ov 4.5 (-165)
un 4.5 (120)
ov 4.5 (-166)
un 4.5 (120)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (103)
un 2.5 (-140)
ov 2.5 (105)
un 2.5 (-135)
-
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-145)
ov 2.5 (104)
un 2.5 (-142)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-171)
un 17.5 (126)
ov 17.5 (-170)
un 17.5 (130)
ov 17.5 (-182)
un 17.5 (134)
ov 17.5 (-160)
un 17.5 (115)
ov 17.5 (-154)
un 17.5 (112)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-157)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-145)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-152)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (116)
un 5.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-116)
un 1.5 (-121)
ov 1.5 (-115)
un 1.5 (-125)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-117)
un 1.5 (-117)

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