Ryan Pepiot Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -152

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ryan Pepiot in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The New York Yankees (24.4% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-most strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate today.

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Ryan Pepiot (38.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected batting order.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryan Pepiot will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ryan Pepiot has had some very good luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 9.83 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.05 — a 0.78 K/9 disparity.

Ryan Pepiot is projected to have 5.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 9th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Given the 0.47 deviation between Ryan Pepiot's 3.79 ERA and his 4.26 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season and figures to perform worse the rest of the season.

New York Yankees batters jointly rank in the game for power since the start of last season when using their 10.9% Barrel%.

New York Yankees batters as a group have been among the best in the league since the start of last season () when assessing their 90.2-mph average exit velocity.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The underlying talent of the New York Yankees projected batting order today (.332 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .348 wOBA this year.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Yankees offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 6th-worst field in baseball for batting average.

Among all major league parks, George M. Steinbrenner Field's centerfield fences are the 5th-deepest.

Considering that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Ryan Pepiot (38.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected batting order.

Ryan Pepiot is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -115

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The underlying talent of the New York Yankees projected batting order today (.332 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .348 wOBA this year.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Yankees offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 6th-worst field in baseball for batting average.

Among all major league parks, George M. Steinbrenner Field's centerfield fences are the 5th-deepest.

Considering that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Ryan Pepiot (38.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected batting order.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 9th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Given the 0.47 deviation between Ryan Pepiot's 3.79 ERA and his 4.26 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season and figures to perform worse the rest of the season.

Ryan Pepiot's 19th percentile Walk% (9.3% since the start of last season) shows his weak control skills.

New York Yankees batters jointly rank in the game for power since the start of last season when using their 10.9% Barrel%.

Ryan Pepiot is projected to have 15.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.