Los Angeles Dodgers
09:40 PM
ATS Picks on May 9, 2025
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -142
Strikeouts 3.5 under: 112
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Roki Sasaki in the 81st percentile among all starters in the game.
Jeremie Rehak profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.
Given his reverse platoon split, Roki Sasaki will hold the advantage squaring off against 6 batters in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in today's outing.
Out of all starting pitchers, Roki Sasaki's fastball velocity of 95.5 mph grades out in the 88th percentile this year.
Roki Sasaki has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 7.12 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.02 — a 1.9 K/9 difference.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.4% underlying K%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Roki Sasaki (34% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Arizona's projected batting order.
Roki Sasaki is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -120
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The 5th-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The #3 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Roki Sasaki (34% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Arizona's projected batting order.
Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Roki Sasaki today.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Roki Sasaki's overall pitching ability ranks in the 81st percentile among all SPs in MLB currently.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future
Jeremie Rehak profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in the majors.
Among all parks, the 10th-highest average fence height are at Chase Field.
Roki Sasaki is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -180
Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Roki Sasaki's overall pitching ability ranks in the 81st percentile among all SPs in MLB currently.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future
Jeremie Rehak profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in the majors.
Among all parks, the 10th-highest average fence height are at Chase Field.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
Roki Sasaki has averaged 13 outs per start this year, placing in the 8th percentile.
The 5th-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The #3 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Roki Sasaki (34% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Arizona's projected batting order.
Roki Sasaki is projected to have 14.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-128) | ov 4.5 (-130) | - | ov 4.5 (-125) | ov 4.5 (-133) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (-110) | ov 2.5 (-115) | - | ov 2.5 (-115) | ov 2.5 (-109) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 3.5 (-156) | ov 3.5 (-165) | ov 3.5 (-140) | ov 3.5 (-165) | ov 3.5 (-166) |
Walks Allowed | ov 2.5 (104) | ov 2.5 (100) | - | - | ov 2.5 (108) |
