Paul Blackburn projections, stats and prop bet odds for New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays on Sep 9, 2024
Paul Blackburn Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 125
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.
Out of all the teams in action today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Paul Blackburn in today's matchup.
Paul Blackburn allowed a colossal 5 earned runs in his last GS.
Paul Blackburn’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2111 rpm) has been significantly worse than than his seasonal rate (2178 rpm).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst venue in MLB for walks.
The league's 8th-highest fences can be found at Rogers Centre.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 7th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers.
Projection For Today's Paul Blackburn Earned Runs Prop Bet
Paul Blackburn is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in todays game.
Paul Blackburn Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -165
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Paul Blackburn has averaged 93.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.
Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Rogers Centre grades out as the #7 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 7th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 20% underlying K%.
Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Paul Blackburn in today's matchup.
Paul Blackburn didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his last GS and posted 1 Ks.
Paul Blackburn’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2111 rpm) has been significantly worse than than his seasonal rate (2178 rpm).
Out of all starting pitchers, Paul Blackburn's fastball velocity of 91.3 mph ranks in the 24th percentile this year.
Projection For Today's Paul Blackburn Strikeouts Prop Bet
Paul Blackburn is projected to have 4.1 Strikeouts in todays game.
