Jordan Montgomery projections, stats and prop bet odds for Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals on Jul 23, 2024
Jordan Montgomery Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 2.5 over: -175
- Strikeouts 2.5 under: 135
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Brennan Miller projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches today.
Jordan Montgomery's curveball usage has spiked by 7.3% from last season to this one (22.2% to 29.5%) .
Given the 0.99 disparity between Jordan Montgomery's 6.17 K/9 and his 7.15 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to positively regress the rest of the season.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jordan Montgomery in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Jordan Montgomery to be on a bit of a short leash in today's game, projecting a maximum of 71 pitches.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.4% underlying K%.
Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #29 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.
Projection For Today's Jordan Montgomery Strikeouts Prop Bet
Jordan Montgomery is projected to have 2.9 Strikeouts in todays game.
Jordan Montgomery Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -167
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the best stadium in MLB for walks.
Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-shortest average fence height in the majors.
The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Jordan Montgomery will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Jordan Montgomery's fastball velocity has dropped 1.5 mph this season (91.1 mph) below where it was last season (92.6 mph).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Brennan Miller projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches today.
Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences in the league.
The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team on the slate today.
Jordan Montgomery's curveball usage has spiked by 7.3% from last season to this one (22.2% to 29.5%) .
Jordan Montgomery has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 5.76 figure is a good deal higher than his 4.46 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Projection For Today's Jordan Montgomery Earned Runs Prop Bet
Jordan Montgomery is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.
