Chicago Cubs
03:35 PM
ATS Picks on April 2, 2025
Read Projection
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 4.5 over: 140
Strikeouts 4.5 under: -182
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Athletics have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brent Rooker, Shea Langeliers, Max Muncy, Tyler Soderstrom).
With 6 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jameson Taillon should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
Because groundball pitchers have a substantial edge over groundball hitters, Jameson Taillon and his 37.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this game being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.
Jameson Taillon's high usage rate of his secondary pitches (59.2% since the start of last season) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jameson Taillon in the 21st percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.
Ramon De Jesus grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today's game.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.
In his last game started, Jameson Taillon struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.
Jameson Taillon's 92.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 21st percentile out of all SPs.
Jameson Taillon is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -105
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
Ramon De Jesus grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today's game.
On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Jameson Taillon is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #7 HR venue in the league in this game.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.
Jameson Taillon was in good form in his last outing and conceded 0 ER.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the worst park in Major League Baseball for BABIP.
In MLB, Sutter Health Park's LF fences are the 6th-deepest.
With 6 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jameson Taillon should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the best out of every team on the slate today.
Because groundball pitchers have a substantial edge over groundball hitters, Jameson Taillon and his 37.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this game being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.
Jameson Taillon is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 5.5 (-108) | ov 5.5 (-110) | - | - |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (-103) | ov 2.5 (-105) | - | - |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 4.5 (134) | ov 4.5 (135) | ov 4.5 (133) | ov 3.5 (-160) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (155) | ov 1.5 (155) | - | - |
