Colin Rea projections, stats and prop bet odds for Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs on Jul 23, 2024
Colin Rea Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -102
- Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Doug Eddings profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.
In the league, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest.
Among all parks, the 7th-tallest average fence height are at Wrigley Field.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.
Colin Rea was rolling in his last start and conceded 2 ER.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Colin Rea is expected to throw 85 pitches in today's game, which is the 15th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.
The Chicago Cubs have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colin Rea in today's game.
Colin Rea's 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 24th percentile among all SPs.
Colin Rea has been lucky this year, compiling a 3.77 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.77 — a 1 deviation.
Projection For Today's Colin Rea Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Colin Rea is projected to have 15.2 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Colin Rea Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: 115
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -150
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The Chicago Cubs have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Pete Crow-Armstrong, Christopher Morel, Michael Busch).
Doug Eddings profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.
Wrigley Field grades out as the #8 park in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Colin Rea was rolling in his previous game started and compiled 7 strikeouts.
Colin Rea's slider rate has risen by 6% from last year to this one (10.7% to 16.7%) .
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Colin Rea in the 23rd percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
Colin Rea is expected to throw 85 pitches in today's game, which is the 15th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colin Rea in today's game.
Colin Rea's 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 24th percentile among all SPs.
Projection For Today's Colin Rea Strikeouts Prop Bet
Colin Rea is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
Colin Rea Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 155
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -220
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Chicago Cubs have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colin Rea in today's game.
Colin Rea's 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 24th percentile among all SPs.
Colin Rea has been lucky this year, compiling a 3.77 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.77 — a 1 deviation.
Colin Rea has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game on balls in play this year with a .263 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Doug Eddings profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.
In the league, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest.
Among all parks, the 7th-tallest average fence height are at Wrigley Field.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.
Colin Rea was rolling in his last start and conceded 2 ER.
Projection For Today's Colin Rea Earned Runs Prop Bet
Colin Rea is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in todays game.
