Aaron Nola Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 116

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -148

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 80th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

Recording 97.4 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season on average, Aaron Nola falls in the 96th percentile.

Aaron Nola was rolling in his last GS and compiled 8 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The St. Louis Cardinals (20.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone set of hitters on the slate.

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #4 venue in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Aaron Nola will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Aaron Nola has used his curveball 8.9% less often this season (24%) than he did last season (32.9%).

Aaron Nola is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 145

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -195

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

Recording 97.4 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season on average, Aaron Nola falls in the 96th percentile.

The underlying talent of the St. Louis Cardinals projected lineup today (.313 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .341 wOBA this year.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst park in the game for home runs.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Aaron Nola will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Aaron Nola gave up a whopping 5 earned runs in his last outing.

Aaron Nola is projected to have 18.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -165

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Aaron Nola will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Aaron Nola gave up a whopping 5 earned runs in his last outing.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

The underlying talent of the St. Louis Cardinals projected lineup today (.313 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .341 wOBA this year.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst park in the game for home runs.

Among all stadiums, Busch Stadium's RF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

Aaron Nola is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.