PREMIER LEAGUE
Across eight Premier League matches, Ipswich are 12th on 10 points with a 3-1-4 record, while Bournemouth are 13th on 9 points and 2-3-3. The standings look close, but the chance data isn’t. Ipswich have a 10.61 xG attack and an 18.85 xGA defense, which works out to 1.33 xG and 2.36 xGA per match. Bournemouth sit at 2.09 xG and 1.16 xGA per match, a much healthier profile than the table shows. Shot volume also supports goals at both ends. Ipswich are producing 4.3 shots on target per match, while Bournemouth are at 5.0, so both teams are reaching dangerous areas often enough. The finishing gap matters too: Ipswich’s attack has outscored its xG, while Bournemouth have done the same by a larger margin. That keeps the full-time result lined up with a narrow Bournemouth win, but the better scoring lane remains both teams finding the net.
Our Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth prediction is Ipswich Town 1-2 Bournemouth. We like Both Teams to Score: Yes at a playable entry threshold of -156, with Bournemouth’s chance creation and Ipswich’s weak xGA driving the edge. The away side’s stronger underlying numbers make the scoring case more stable than the result market.
