NFL
Chicago enters at 5-2 with a positive point differential, but its defense has been much shakier than Seattle’s, especially in efficiency metrics. The Bears allow 225.9 passing yards per game and 6.3 yards per play, and their turnover margin sits at minus-1. Seattle is 4-3 and has allowed only 17.9 points per game and 4.0 yards per play, which gives it a stronger floor even if its own offense has not been consistently explosive. Both teams have produced similar scoring profiles on a per-game basis, so the defensive edge and home field tilt the analysis toward Seattle.
Seattle is the better side in a game that should stay competitive but tilt to the home team late. Chicago’s offense has been good enough to keep this within reach, yet Seattle’s defense has been far more efficient and should be the difference in key possessions. The projected final score is Seahawks 27, Bears 23, giving Seattle the moneyline edge while keeping the total in a range that is higher than both teams’ recent over tendencies but still manageable given the defensive strengths on display.
