San José St Spartans vs UC Irvine Anteaters Prediction - November 7, 2026

Matchup Overview

UC Irvine enters with the better defensive résumé and the more established predictive profile. The Anteaters are 1-0, have a KenPom net rating of +5.20, and their statistics show a balanced team that can win with defense, rebounding, and shot suppression. Their recent results also show that they can control weaker opponents while keeping games in a manageable range. San José State also comes in at 1-0, but its profile is more volatile. The Spartans’ offensive numbers are stronger in the provided data, with 95.0 points per game, 58.9% shooting, and 43.0 rebounds per game, though that comes from a tiny sample. Their earlier meeting with UC Irvine last season ended in a close game, which supports the idea that this matchup may be tighter than the home price implies.

Market Trends

• ●UC Irvine ATS record and over/under record were not provided in the dataset.
• ●San José State ATS record and over/under record were not provided in the dataset.

Prediction Summary

This matchup projects as a close, low-margin game with UC Irvine’s defense meeting San José State’s early scoring output. The Anteaters are the more complete team on paper, but the market is asking for a large home-team premium, and that opens a small value lane on the Spartans. The final projection is San José State 73, UC Irvine 71, with a total of 144.