The Missouri State Bears (7–3) hit the road on Saturday for a key Conference USA matchup with the Kennesaw State Owls (7–3) at Fifth Third Stadium in Kennesaw. Both teams are jockeying for positioning in the tight CUSA race, and this game could very well determine which squad maintains control of its postseason destiny. Before kickoff from Kennesaw, you will find my Missouri State vs Kennesaw State prediction for Saturday afternoon.
Our Missouri State vs Kennesaw State Pick
- Pick: Missouri State +6.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Missouri State Bears vs Kennesaw State Owls
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 22, 2025, 2:00 PM Eastern
- Venue: Fifth Third Stadium (Walens Family Field), Kennesaw, Georgia
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Tight Conference Race: Both teams are 7–3 overall and 5–1 in CUSA, making this a de facto seeding game. A win will give the team that gets it a shot to get to the CUSA title game going into the final week of regular-season action.
- Missouri State’s Road Surge: The Bears come in on a five-game winning streak, including four straight wins away from home. Their confidence on the road will be tested once more in this game.
- KSU’s Home Edge: The Owls will look to protect their home turf and reassert themselves in the CUSA picture after a recent loss to Jacksonville State.
- New Kids On the Block: Both of these programs are relatively new to FBS football. The Bears are in their first season of FBS competition, while Kennesaw State is in its second year in the FBS. But both programs have adjusted to this level of competition quickly and are in the middle of some impressive seasons.
Quarterback Play
Jacob Clark has been the quarterback that has led the Bears’ offense. He enters this matchup with 2,257 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions on the season. His completion rate sits at 65.5%. In his most recent outing against UTEP, Clark was sharp. He went 30-of-39 for 330 yards and four touchdowns with no picks.
Kennesaw State’s offense is led by Amari Odom, who enters with 1,512 passing yards, 8 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions so far. In the Owls’ last game, Odom threw three interceptions in a loss to Jacksonville State, although he did have a rushing touchdown.
Betting Trends
- Kennesaw State is 6-4 against the spread going into this game.
- Missouri State is an impressive 7-3 against the spread going into this matchup.
- The under has cashed in 6 of Kennesaw State’s first 10 games.
- Missouri State has stayed under the total in 8 of their 10 games. That is the highest percentage of unders in college football this season.
Missouri State vs Kennesaw State Model Projection
Score Projection: Kennesaw State 30 – Missouri State 27
Win Probability: Kennesaw State 67%, Missouri State 33%
Final Thoughts
I think that we are going to be in for a close game between Missouri state and Kennesaw State this weekend. I’ll take the points with Missouri State on the road, as they have proven that they can hang with tough competition away from home on a consistent basis.
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