Old Dominion heads into Statesboro as a heavy favorite in this weekend’s Sun Belt matchup against Georgia Southern. The Monarchs (7‑3) have won three games in a row going into this weekend, while the Eagles (5‑5) will need a big performance at home to pull off an upset and get to bowl-eligible status. Before kickoff from Georgia, you can find my Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern prediction below.
Our Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern Pick
Pick: Old Dominion -9.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia Southern Eagles
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 22, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Old Dominion’s defensive strength: The Monarchs are allowing just 21.1 points per game, ranking among the better defenses in the FBS this year. Georgia Southern gives up an average of 34.6 points. This points to a potential advantage for ODU to use to control the game.
- Georgia Southern’s inconsistent season: The Eagles are 5‑5 going into this game and they have won two games in a row. The Eagles have enjoyed some strong performances offensively, but their defensive lapses have cost them. They’ll need to find a way to slow down ODU to get an important win in this contest.
- Bowl implications: A win for Old Dominion would improve their bowl positioning, as they would get to eight wins with one game left to go. But this game is much more important for Georgia Southern. A win at home would get the Eagles to six wins and make them bowl eligible with one game left to go.
Quarterback Play
Old Dominion’s offense is led by Colton Joseph, who has thrown for 2,378 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions this season. He’s a dual-threat, contributing 711 rushing yards and 11 rushing touchdowns along with his passing output. His versatility gives ODU flexibility in play‑calling and makes him a constant threat. Georgia Southern’s JC French IV leads the charge at quarterback with 2,293 passing yards and 17 touchdowns. While French has been productive, he’ll be tested here by a Monarchs defense that excels at creating pressure and limiting big plays.
Betting Trends
- Old Dominion is 6‑4‑0 against the spread this season.
- Georgia Southern is 5‑4‑1 against the spread this year.
- The under has cashed in 6 of Old Dominion’s first 10 games.
- The over has hit in 7 of Georgia Southern’s 10 games in 2025.
Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern Model Projection
- Score Projection: Old Dominion 35 – Georgia Southern 24
- Win Probability: Old Dominion 77%, Georgia Southern 23%
Final Thoughts
We should see Old Dominion win and cover the spread in this contest. Georgia Southern needs a win to get to bowl season. But not every team that needs a win late in a season is a good bet, as they would already have enough wins if they were a good enough team to flip the switch and win games in that way. I’ll lay the points with the Monarchs on Saturday afternoon.
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