Ottawa Senators vs Los Angeles Kings Odds, Pick & Prediction – 3/11/2020
Updated October 28, 2026
Updated October 28, 2026
The Los Angeles Kings entered their March 11, 2020 matchup against the Ottawa Senators riding a six-game winning streak. After a difficult season, Los Angeles had finally found some consistency, particularly on home ice.
Ottawa arrived in California for the second game of a back-to-back following a 5-2 loss to the Anaheim Ducks. The Senators had struggled defensively throughout the season, and another road game against an improving Kings team presented a difficult challenge.
Los Angeles was favored at -165 on the moneyline, with Ottawa listed at +140. The Over/Under was set at six goals.
This historical matchup analysis examines the original betting market, each team's form, and the factors that favored Los Angeles. It also includes the final result and how the available betting lines performed.
Game information | Details |
|---|---|
Matchup | Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings |
Date | Wednesday, March 11, 2020 |
Start time | 10:30 PM ET |
Venue | Staples Center, Los Angeles |
Competition | NHL regular season |
Ottawa record entering game | 25-33-12 |
Los Angeles record entering game | 28-35-6 |
Historical betting favorite | Los Angeles Kings |
Final score | Los Angeles 3, Ottawa 2 |
The Kings entered the contest having won six consecutive games, while Ottawa was coming off a disappointing performance in Anaheim.
Los Angeles had also been particularly effective at Staples Center, winning five straight home games before facing the Senators.
Archived betting markets listed Los Angeles as the favorite.
Betting market | Ottawa Senators | Los Angeles Kings |
|---|---|---|
Moneyline | +140 | -165 |
Puck line | +1.5 | -1.5 |
Over/Under | 6 goals | 6 goals |
These are historical betting lines. Exact puck-line prices varied by sportsbook and could not be reliably established.
The -165 moneyline meant a bettor would have needed to risk $165 to win $100 on Los Angeles.
Ottawa's +140 price offered a $140 profit on a successful $100 wager.
The Kings were favored because of their recent improvement, home-ice advantage, and Ottawa's difficult schedule.
Team | Historical moneyline | Raw implied probability |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Kings | -165 | 62.3% |
Ottawa Senators | +140 | 41.7% |
The percentages exceed 100% when combined because sportsbook odds include a margin.
Removing that margin gives Los Angeles an approximate market-implied win probability of 59.9%, compared with 40.1% for Ottawa.
The market therefore gave the Kings a meaningful advantage, although the Senators still had a reasonable chance of pulling off an upset.
Ottawa entered the game with a 25-33-12 record and had struggled to maintain consistency throughout the season.
The Senators were playing their second road game in as many nights after losing 5-2 to Anaheim on March 10.
That result raised concerns about their defensive performance and goaltending.
Marcus Hogberg had allowed five goals on just 15 shots against the Ducks, making Craig Anderson the likely starter against Los Angeles.
Anderson ultimately started the game.
Brady Tkachuk was one of Ottawa's most important offensive players during the 2019-20 season.
His physical approach, willingness to attack the net, and ability to generate scoring chances gave the Senators a dangerous presence in the offensive zone.
Connor Brown and Anthony Duclair were also important contributors, while Thomas Chabot provided offensive support from the blue line.
Ottawa had enough talent to trouble Los Angeles, particularly if it could establish an early lead.
The greater concern was maintaining defensive discipline over three periods.
The Senators had struggled to protect leads and limit scoring opportunities against opponents with stronger offensive depth.
Ottawa had found wins difficult to come by away from home.
Its defensive issues were often more noticeable on the road, where opponents could control matchups and apply sustained pressure.
The back-to-back schedule made the trip to Los Angeles even more demanding.
After playing in Anaheim the previous night, Ottawa had limited recovery time before facing a Kings team that had been playing some of its best hockey of the season.
The Senators needed strong goaltending and a disciplined defensive effort to remain competitive.
Los Angeles entered the matchup with a 28-35-6 record.
Although the Kings were well outside the playoff race, their recent performances told a different story.
They had won six straight games and were 9-2-1 over their previous 12 contests.
Their improvement was particularly noticeable defensively.
Los Angeles had been limiting scoring opportunities, receiving dependable goaltending, and finding ways to win close games.
The Kings' recent victories included impressive results against several competitive opponents.
They had beaten Pittsburgh, Vegas, and Colorado during their winning streak.
Their March 9 victory over the Avalanche was particularly encouraging.
Los Angeles won 3-1, with Jonathan Quick making 21 saves.
The Kings had also defeated Minnesota 7-3 on March 7, showing they could produce offense when opportunities presented themselves.
That combination of improved defense and timely scoring made Los Angeles an appealing favorite against Ottawa.
Anze Kopitar remained the central figure in Los Angeles' forward group.
His two-way play, faceoff ability, and leadership were important to the team's defensive structure.
Drew Doughty continued to play a major role on the blue line, contributing at both ends of the ice.
The Kings were also receiving valuable contributions from younger players, including Gabriel Vilardi.
Vilardi had recently joined the NHL lineup and was beginning to establish himself as a promising offensive contributor.
His development gave Los Angeles another option beyond its established veterans.
Staples Center had become a difficult venue for visiting teams during the Kings' late-season improvement.
Los Angeles entered the Ottawa matchup having won five consecutive home games.
The Kings were defending more effectively, generating opportunities through sustained offensive-zone pressure, and benefiting from improved goaltending.
Ottawa's road struggles made that advantage particularly relevant.
The teams had already met earlier in the 2019-20 season.
Ottawa defeated Los Angeles 3-2 in overtime on November 7, 2019.
That game demonstrated how competitive the matchup could be, despite the teams' disappointing overall records.
However, the Kings entered the March rematch in much better form.
Their recent defensive performances suggested they were better equipped to control the game than they had been earlier in the season.
The Over/Under market also deserved attention.
Both teams had been involved in several relatively low-scoring contests, and Los Angeles had consistently limited opposing offenses during its winning streak.
With the total set at six goals, the Under was a reasonable consideration.
The Kings had several advantages entering this matchup.
Their six-game winning streak demonstrated a clear improvement in form, while Ottawa was playing its second road game in two nights.
Los Angeles had also been defending well and receiving dependable goaltending.
The Senators had enough offensive talent to remain competitive, but their inconsistency and difficult schedule made them the less attractive side.
At the archived -165 moneyline, Los Angeles was the stronger pregame selection based on the available information.
Reconstructed betting lean: Los Angeles Kings moneyline (-165).
This is a retrospective assessment, not a recovered ATS.io pick.
The total offered another interesting angle.
Los Angeles had been involved in several low-scoring games during its winning streak.
Ottawa's offense was capable of producing goals, but the Senators were also dealing with fatigue after playing in Anaheim the previous night.
A six-goal total left room for a relatively competitive game while still favoring the Under if Los Angeles continued defending effectively.
Reconstructed total lean: Under 6 goals.
Again, this assessment is based on historical information rather than a documented original ATS.io recommendation.
Los Angeles defeated Ottawa 3-2 at Staples Center, extending its winning streak to seven games.
The Senators scored first, but the Kings responded and eventually secured the victory with a late third-period goal.
Martin Frk scored the game-winner with 4:41 remaining in regulation.
Gabriel Vilardi also played an important role, recording a goal and an assist.
Period | Ottawa Senators | Los Angeles Kings |
|---|---|---|
First | 1 | 1 |
Second | 0 | 0 |
Third | 1 | 2 |
Final | 2 | 3 |
Ottawa opened the scoring just 29 seconds into the game when Bobby Ryan converted a pass from Brady Tkachuk.
Trevor Lewis tied the game for Los Angeles at 10:09 of the first period.
Neither team scored in the second period.
Jayce Hawryluk restored Ottawa's lead early in the third, but the Kings responded with two unanswered goals.
Vilardi tied the game on the power play before Frk scored the winner.
Period | Time | Team | Goal scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
First | 0:29 | Ottawa | Bobby Ryan |
First | 10:09 | Los Angeles | Trevor Lewis |
Third | 1:57 | Ottawa | Jayce Hawryluk |
Third | 9:12 | Los Angeles | Gabriel Vilardi (PP) |
Third | 15:19 | Los Angeles | Martin Frk |
The Kings controlled much of the shot volume, outshooting Ottawa 39-26.
Craig Anderson made 36 saves for the Senators, keeping his team competitive despite sustained pressure.
Cal Petersen stopped 24 shots for Los Angeles.
Vilardi was one of the game's most influential players.
The young Kings forward scored the tying goal on the power play midway through the third period.
He also assisted on Frk's winning goal.
Frk's decisive shot came following a transition play involving Drew Doughty.
The goal completed Los Angeles' comeback and secured its seventh consecutive victory.
For Ottawa, Ryan and Hawryluk provided the scoring, but the Senators could not protect their third-period lead.
The Kings' persistence ultimately made the difference.
The final score settled the main betting markets as follows.
Betting market | Historical line | Result |
|---|---|---|
Kings moneyline | -165 | Won |
Senators moneyline | +140 | Lost |
Kings -1.5 | Price unverified | Lost |
Senators +1.5 | Price unverified | Won |
Under 6 goals | 6 | Won |
Over 6 goals | 6 | Lost |
The Kings' 3-2 victory rewarded moneyline bettors, but their one-goal winning margin was insufficient to cover a -1.5 puck line.
The teams combined for five goals, meaning Under 6 was successful.
Yes.
Los Angeles won 3-2, making the -165 moneyline a winning wager.
A $100 stake at -165 would have returned approximately $60.61 in profit, plus the original stake.
Yes.
The game finished with five total goals.
Under 6 won, while Over 6 lost.
The relatively low-scoring result was consistent with Los Angeles' improved defensive performances entering the matchup.
The Kings won by one goal.
That means Los Angeles -1.5 lost, while Ottawa +1.5 won.
The March 11 matchup turned out to be the final game of the 2019-20 regular season for both teams.
The NHL paused its season the following day because of the COVID-19 pandemic.
When the league resumed play later that year, it used an expanded postseason format.
Neither Ottawa nor Los Angeles qualified to participate.
As a result, the Kings' seven-game winning streak ended without another regular-season game.
Los Angeles finished the shortened season with a 29-35-6 record, while Ottawa finished 25-34-12.
That gives the March 11 contest additional historical significance beyond its betting result.
The Los Angeles Kings defeated the Ottawa Senators 3-2 at Staples Center.
Archived odds listed Los Angeles at -165 on the moneyline and Ottawa at +140. The total was six goals.
Martin Frk scored the game-winning goal at 15:19 of the third period.
Bobby Ryan and Jayce Hawryluk scored the Senators' two goals.
Trevor Lewis, Gabriel Vilardi, and Martin Frk scored for the Kings.
Craig Anderson started for Ottawa, while Cal Petersen started for Los Angeles.
Anderson made 36 saves on 39 shots.
Los Angeles won by one goal, so a Kings -1.5 wager lost.
The game finished with five total goals, making Under 6 a winner.
Los Angeles extended its winning streak to seven games with the victory.
Yes. The NHL paused the season on March 12, 2020, and neither team participated in the expanded postseason.
Los Angeles entered the March 11 matchup in excellent form and continued its strong finish to the season with a 3-2 victory.
The Kings outshot Ottawa 39-26, overcame two one-goal deficits, and secured the win through Frk's late third-period goal.
Their seventh consecutive victory reflected the defensive improvement and consistency they had demonstrated over the previous two weeks.
The archived -165 moneyline proved successful, as did Under 6 goals.
→ Our Take: Los Angeles was the stronger side entering this matchup, and the Kings justified their favorite status with a 3-2 win. The Under also cashed as the teams combined for five goals. These outcomes support the retrospective betting assessment, although the original ATS.io selection remains unverified.
For more hockey analysis, betting odds, and predictions, visit our NHL picks section.
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