Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
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Khalil Shakir Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Khalil Shakir projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 26, 2025

Khalil Shakir Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -120
  • Receiving Yards 59.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Khalil Shakir is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.0 targets.

Khalil Shakir has been a more important option in his team's pass attack this season (23.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (8.3%).

Khalil Shakir has put up quite a few more air yards this season (35.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

Khalil Shakir's 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a material decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 86.7% mark.

Khalil Shakir's 8.8 adjusted yards per target this season shows a meaningful diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 12.9 rate.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 125.0) versus wideouts this year.

This year, the formidable Chiefs defense has allowed the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a paltry 7.7 yards.

Projection For Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Khalil Shakir is projected to have 61.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Khalil Shakir Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 5.5 over: 130
  • Receptions 5.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Khalil Shakir is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.0 targets.

Khalil Shakir has been a more important option in his team's pass attack this season (23.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (8.3%).

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

Khalil Shakir's 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a material decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 86.7% mark.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection For Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop Bet

Khalil Shakir is projected to have 5.3 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+900
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+490
-
+500
Consensus
-328
+192
-310
+204
Consensus
-
+800
-
+850
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
Consensus
-
+440
-
+430
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+900
-
+500
-
+500
-
+230
-
+210
-
+850
-
+900
-
+750
-
+750
-
+450
-
+440
-
+1000
-
+1000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
10
51
53
50
52
54
49
56
55
9
10
53
51
49
50
56
52
54
55
9
10
51
53
50
52
54
49
56
55
9
10
53
51
49
50
56
52
54
55
Consensus
-120
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-114
-115
-112
-115
-123
-115
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-114
-117
-
-121
-113
-
-
-
-112
-114
-111
-114
-116
-116
-
-
-
-
-118
-118
-113
-117
-
-120
-111
-
-
-
-113
-119
-113
-113
-127
-113
-
-
-
-
-115
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-108
-
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-113
-127
-119
-
-
-
-
-121
-121
-115
-121
-
-121
-108
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-125
-
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-
-
-115
-120
-110
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-125
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
6
5
6
5
6
5
6
Consensus
-132
+121
-102
-158
-132
+118
+101
-157
-137
+116
+108
-160
-125
+116
-109
-160
-115
+120
+110
-155
-135
+120
-120
-155
-108
-
-120
-
-122
-
-102
-
-150
-
+110
-
-160
-
+115
-
-125
+145
-105
-190
-115
+145
-105
-190
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-125
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
21
22
20
19
21
20
22
19
21
22
20
19
21
20
22
19
Consensus
-109
-111
-119
-
-120
-108
-119
-
-112
-110
-120
-
-120
-109
-118
-
-121
-109
-123
-
-125
-111
-127
-
-111
-108
-123
-
-123
-111
-125
-
-108
-110
-113
-125
-120
-110
-118
-108
-108
-113
-114
-118
-120
-110
-120
-104
-120
-110
-120
-
-120
-110
-125
-
-110
-110
-125
-
-120
-105
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+12250
+12500
+12000
+14000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1150
+1437
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
52
53
51
54
55
50
51
52
54
53
50
55
52
53
51
54
55
50
51
52
54
53
50
55
Consensus
-116
-121
-118
-116
-120
-121
-112
-114
-114
-114
-112
-115
-121
-118
-121
-118
-115
-121
-112
-113
-114
-113
-113
-115
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-113
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-113
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-120
-110
-120
-115
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-120
-110
-110
-110
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-120
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+330
+300

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