Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Khalil Shakir Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Khalil Shakir projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills on Dec 22, 2024

Khalil Shakir Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 48.5 over: -117
  • Receiving Yards 48.5 under: -117

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Khalil Shakir's 23.0% Target Rate this season reflects an impressive boost in his air attack usage over last season's 7.8% figure.

Khalil Shakir has posted quite a few more air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.

Khalil Shakir's 62.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a meaningful growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 36.0 rate.

Khalil Shakir checks in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching an excellent 84.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 14-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bills to pass on 51.9% of their plays: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Bills this year (only 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

Projection For Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Khalil Shakir is projected to have 51.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+900
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+490
-
+500
Consensus
-328
+192
-310
+204
Consensus
-
+800
-
+850
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
Consensus
-
+440
-
+430
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+900
-
+500
-
+500
-
+230
-
+210
-
+850
-
+900
-
+750
-
+750
-
+450
-
+440
-
+1000
-
+1000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
10
51
53
50
52
54
49
56
55
9
10
53
51
49
50
56
52
54
55
9
10
51
53
50
52
54
49
56
55
9
10
53
51
49
50
56
52
54
55
Consensus
-120
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-114
-115
-112
-115
-123
-115
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-114
-117
-
-121
-113
-
-
-
-112
-114
-111
-114
-116
-116
-
-
-
-
-118
-118
-113
-117
-
-120
-111
-
-
-
-113
-119
-113
-113
-127
-113
-
-
-
-
-115
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-108
-
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-113
-127
-119
-
-
-
-
-121
-121
-115
-121
-
-121
-108
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-125
-
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-
-
-115
-120
-110
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-125
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
6
5
6
5
6
5
6
Consensus
-132
+121
-102
-158
-132
+118
+101
-157
-137
+116
+108
-160
-125
+116
-109
-160
-115
+120
+110
-155
-135
+120
-120
-155
-108
-
-120
-
-122
-
-102
-
-150
-
+110
-
-160
-
+115
-
-125
+145
-105
-190
-115
+145
-105
-190
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-125
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
21
22
20
19
21
20
22
19
21
22
20
19
21
20
22
19
Consensus
-109
-111
-119
-
-120
-108
-119
-
-112
-110
-120
-
-120
-109
-118
-
-121
-109
-123
-
-125
-111
-127
-
-111
-108
-123
-
-123
-111
-125
-
-108
-110
-113
-125
-120
-110
-118
-108
-108
-113
-114
-118
-120
-110
-120
-104
-120
-110
-120
-
-120
-110
-125
-
-110
-110
-125
-
-120
-105
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+12250
+12500
+12000
+14000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1150
+1437
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
52
53
51
54
55
50
51
52
54
53
50
55
52
53
51
54
55
50
51
52
54
53
50
55
Consensus
-116
-121
-118
-116
-120
-121
-112
-114
-114
-114
-112
-115
-121
-118
-121
-118
-115
-121
-112
-113
-114
-113
-113
-115
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-113
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-113
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-120
-110
-120
-115
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-120
-110
-110
-110
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-120
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+330
+300