Bijan Robinson projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints on Nov 10, 2024
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 76.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 76.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Falcons to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.1% run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have 134.3 total plays called: the most among all games this week.
Bijan Robinson's 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a meaningful improvement in his running proficiency over last year's 50.0 figure.
The Saints defense has had the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.40 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 71.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
