Baker Mayfield Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Baker Mayfield projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Oct 27, 2024

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Passing Yards 228.5 over: -110
• Passing Yards 228.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 60.8% of their plays: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 132.5 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The model projects Baker Mayfield to throw 37.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

Baker Mayfield's 276.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a noteworthy boost in his throwing talent over last year's 231.0 mark.

This year, the weak Atlanta Falcons defense has been gouged for a monstrous 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-largest rate in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

The Atlanta Falcons defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.65 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.

The Falcons safeties rank as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 242.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.

Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

• Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 140
• Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 60.8% of their plays: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (58.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buccaneers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 132.5 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

Baker Mayfield's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a substantial progression in his throwing precision over last season's 63.6% mark.

This year, the weak Atlanta Falcons defense has been gouged for a monstrous 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-largest rate in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The Falcons safeties rank as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Baker Mayfield Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Baker Mayfield is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.