Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Adam Thielen projections and prop bets for Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers on Dec 22, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
A throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect Adam Thielen to notch 7.9 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
Adam Thielen has notched a massive 67.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Adam Thielen grades out as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an exceptional 62.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
With an outstanding 78.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (94th percentile) this year, Adam Thielen stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.
The projections expect the Panthers to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.9% pass rate.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers this year (a lowly 54.4 per game on average).
Adam Thielen has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack this year (20.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.7%).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has given up the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) versus wideouts this year.
Adam Thielen is projected to have 58.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
A throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect Adam Thielen to notch 7.9 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
With an outstanding 78.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (94th percentile) this year, Adam Thielen stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.
The Cardinals pass defense has been torched for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.2%) vs. WRs this year (69.2%).
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Arizona's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
The projections expect the Panthers to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.9% pass rate.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers this year (a lowly 54.4 per game on average).
Adam Thielen has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack this year (20.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.7%).
Adam Thielen's play as a receiver has worsened this season, notching just 4.8 adjusted receptions compared to 6.1 last season.
Adam Thielen is projected to have 5.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
