The Philadelphia Eagles head into Week 12 as the favorite when they take on their NFC East rival, the Dallas Cowboys, on Sunday afternoon. The Eagles are sitting at 8–2 and the Cowboys are struggling at 4–5–1. This game carries significant implications for playoff positioning for both of these division rivals. I have broken down this NFC East matchup and you can find my Eagles vs Cowboys prediction below.
Our Eagles vs Cowboys Pick
- Pick: Eagles –3.5
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 23, 2025, 4:25 PM ET
- Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: FOX
Key Storylines
This matchup is all about momentum and execution. Philadelphia is riding a four-game win streak, largely carried by its defense, which has tightened up in recent weeks. The Eagles have given up 16 total points in their last two games and their defense will be tested in this matchup against a potent Cowboys passing game. Dallas snapped a two-game skid with a strong 33–16 win over the Raiders on Monday Night Football this past week. That performance has injected some hope into their season again.
Injuries also loom large for both teams. Philadelphia’s offensive line has taken hits, with veteran Lane Johnson dealing with a foot injury. Dallas is missing key defenders, including Trevon Diggs, and their front seven has had to adjust with some rotation up front as well.
The Cowboys also have to overcome a short prep week before this game. Dallas has one less day to prepare for this game than the Eagles do and that could be a big factor in this game if the margins are tight everywhere else.
Quarterback Play
Jalen Hurts continues to lead the Eagles offense with efficiency. Through 10 games, he’s thrown for 1,995 yards with a 16:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He remains a dual-threat and he is always capable of making plays in the running game in addition to his passing output.
Dak Prescott is the quarterback for Dallas. He comes into this game with 2,587 passing yards and 21 touchdowns, showing he can still move the offense. His top targets include George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb, who are both healthy and producing at this point in time.
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia is 7–3 against the spread this season.
- The Cowboys are 5–5 against the spread in 2025.
- The Cowboys have gone over the total in 7 of their first 10 games.
- The Eagles have gone 5-5 in the over/under market so far this season.
Eagles vs Cowboys Model Projection
- Score Projection: Eagles 24 – Cowboys 20
- Win Probability: Eagles 56%, Cowboys 44%
Final Thoughts
This should be a tight game for the most part. But the poise of the Eagles in big games should give them the upper hand, along with their rest advantage over the Cowboys entering Week 12. I’ll lay the points with Philly here, as they should deal the Cowboys a critical blow to their playoff hopes while moving closer to locking up the NFC East title.
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