Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Props - 12/23/2025

Updated December 23, 2025


Updated December 23, 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to San Antonio on Tuesday to take on the Spurs in a highly anticipated Western Conference matchup. Both clubs have been among the league’s best this season, but the Thunder have set themselves apart by amassing one of the strongest records in the league during their title defense. Can OKC get a win on the second game of a back-to-back here? Continue reading to get my Thunder vs Spurs prediction for Tuesday night.
Pick: | Spurs +5.5 |
Confidence: | 4/5 |
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Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Under 31.5 Points |
De’Aaron Fox | Over 18.5 Points |
Score Projection: Thunder 118 – Spurs 117
Win Probability: Thunder 62%, Spurs 38%
I think we are in for a very close game between these teams on Tuesday night. The Thunder are a better team than the Spurs, but the Thunder have a rest disadvantage that will be hard for them to navigate. I'll take the points with the Spurs in what should be a close game from San Antonio just a couple of days before the NBA's annual Christmas Day slate.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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