The Minnesota Timberwolves (10-7) travel to face the red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder (17-1) on Wednesday night. The Thunder have surged to a 9-game winning streak and remain unbeaten at home for the season. Minnesota enters off back-to-back losses and will try to get the first win of their current road trip. Before this showdown at the Paycom Center, you will be able to find my Timberwolves vs Thunder prediction here.
Our Timberwolves vs Thunder Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5
- Confidence: ★★☆☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 26, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
- The Thunder enter this game riding a nine-game win streak. Their recent 122–95 demolition of the Portland Trail Blazers was a statement performance. They were led by the league’s top guard, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who dropped 37 points in 30 minutes. Oklahoma City’s offense has been excellent and their defense continues to stifle opponents. The Thunder are 17-1 to start the season and are the favorites to win this year’s NBA Finals.
- Minnesota has looked vulnerable lately. The Timberwolves have lost two straight games, including a gut-wrenching 117–112 overtime defeat to the Sacramento Kings after blowing a 10-point lead in the final minutes. Despite a strong scoring attack, poor late-game execution and defensive lapses have become recurring headaches.
- The Thunder are without Jalen Williams for this game, while SGA is also questionable to take part. Minnesota has a clean injury report going into this contest and they will try to use that to their advantage to stop the bleeding on the road.
- This is a huge game for both teams in the NBA Cup. The Thunder can remain the only unbeaten team in West Group A with a win, while the Wolves could really use a win to get to 3-1 and give themselves a chance to advance.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This will be the first of four regular-season meetings between these clubs.
- OKC is 10-8 against the spread so far this season.
- Minnesota is 6-11 against the spread heading into Wednesday night.
- The Thunder are 9-9 on over/unders so far this season.
- Minnesota has gone under the total in 9 of their first 17 games.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop to Watch |
|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) | Under 31.5 points |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | Over 25.5 points |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | Over 7.5 rebounds |
Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Model Projection
Score Projection: Minnesota 120 – Oklahoma City 125
Win Probability: Minnesota 23%, Oklahoma City 77%
Final Thoughts
The Thunder should continue their winning ways by getting a win at home over the Timberwolves. But I’m taking the points with the Wolves in this matchup. The uncertainty surrounding SGA’s status in this game could send the betting line in Minnesota’s favor depending on whether or not SGA plays. But even if the MVP does play, I think we’re in for a close game between these teams before the NBA takes Thursday off for Thanksgiving.
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