Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction - 12/5/2025

Updated December 5, 2025


Updated December 5, 2025

The Dallas Mavericks will head to OKC to face the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Friday night. The Thunder come into the game off to a dominant 21–1 start to the season and enjoying a 13‑game winning streak. The Mavericks, despite their overall struggles, are on a three‑game win streak heading into Oklahoma City. OKC is a heavy favorite going into this matchup and you can continue reading to find my Mavericks vs Thunder prediction for Friday night.
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Player | Prop |
|---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Under 32.5 Points |
Chet Holmgren | Over 17.5 Points |
Jalen Williams | Over 19.5 Points |
Score Projection: Dallas 106 – Oklahoma City 117
Win Probability: Dallas 12%, Oklahoma City 88%
I don't think that the Mavericks are going to put the Thunder in any serious jeopardy of losing a game here. But I do think that this game will land inside of 15 points when it comes to OKC's margin of victory. The Mavs should have a physical advantage in the paint in this game without Hartenstein on the floor for the Thunder. That will help them keep things respectable in defeat against the defending NBA champs.
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