The Chicago Bears will head to Green Bay to face the Packers this Sunday in a classic NFC North rivalry game at Lambeau Field. The winner of this game will end the week in first place in the NFC North standings with just a few weeks remaining in the regular season. Here, I break down one of the most important games of the week in the NFL and make my Bears vs Packers prediction for Sunday afternoon.
Our Bears vs Packers Pick
- Pick: Bears +6.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers
- Date & Time: Sunday, December 7, 2025, 4:25 PM ET
- Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
- Broadcast: FOX
Bears vs Packers Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Packers -6.5 | Packers -325, Bears +260 | 44.5 points |
Key Storylines
- Historic rivalry at a critical moment: The Packers have historically dominated at home against the Bears. They’ve won eight of the last nine and 14 of the last 17 meetings between these teams at Lambeau Field. That history looms large going into this Sunday, but the Bears are playing very well of late and will try to erase some of that history in this contest.
- Playoff positioning at stake: Both clubs are in contention to win the NFC North. The winner of this game will end Week 14 in first place in the division, and a win for the Bears would give them a little separation at the top of the standings. Chicago has won five games in a row coming into this contest and they would love to get another win here over a Packers team that is on a three-game winning streak of their own.
- Offense vs. defense: Chicago arrives with an offense that’s scored 26.1 points per game. The Packers bring a defense that ranks among the league’s better units, statistically allowing fewer yards per game and getting pressure on quarterbacks since acquiring Micah Parsons. The team that wins that battle when the Bears have the ball will likely come away with the win in this contest from Green Bay.
Quarterback Play
For Chicago, second‑year signal‑caller Caleb Williams has thrown for 2,722 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions this season. His completion rate ranks poorly among qualified league quarterbacks, but he has found a way to be effective in spite of that. The coaching staff has publicly criticized him for accuracy and route execution at times, demanding a sharper performance.
Green Bay’s Jordan Love brings consistency, entering this week with 2,794 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Both of these quarterbacks are taking part in one of the biggest games of their career here and they will try to cash in on this opportunity.
Betting Trends
- Chicago is 8-4 against the spread this season.
- Green Bay is 5-7 against the spread heading into this contest.
- Chicago has gone 6-5-1 in the over/under market, slightly favoring the over this year.
- The Packers are 6-6 on their over/unders heading into this matchup.
Bears vs Packers Model Projection
Score Projection: Bears 21 – Packers 24
Win Probability: Bears 45%, Packers 55%
Final Thoughts
I’m expecting for this game to be a tightly contested rivalry game between two teams that could easily win the NFC this season. I’m going to take the points with the Bears in this contest, as they should be able to do just enough on both sides of the ball to keep things close. However, I expect the Packers to win this game when all is said and done.
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