Tylor Megill projections, stats and prop bet odds for Boston Red Sox at New York Mets on Sep 4, 2024
Tylor Megill Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -115
- Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Boston Red Sox offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets's expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst park in the game for batting average.
Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Tallying 15.1 outs per game per started this year on average, Tylor Megill falls in the 23rd percentile.
In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest.
With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Tylor Megill will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.
Tylor Megill has shown weak control this year, posting a 19th percentile BB% of 10.5%.
Projection For Today's Tylor Megill Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Tylor Megill is projected to have 15.2 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Tylor Megill Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -156
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tylor Megill in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Wong, Tyler O'Neill, Wilyer Abreu).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets's expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 9th-best ballpark in baseball for strikeouts.
Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Tylor Megill will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
Tylor Megill has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.49 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.19 — a 1.30 K/9 disparity.
Projection For Today's Tylor Megill Strikeouts Prop Bet
Tylor Megill is projected to have 5.9 Strikeouts in todays game.
Tylor Megill Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 116
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest.
With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Tylor Megill will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.
Boston Red Sox hitters as a unit place 7th- in the game for power this year when judging by their 9% Barrel%.
Boston Red Sox batters as a unit place 4th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Boston Red Sox offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets's expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst park in the game for batting average.
Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Projection For Today's Tylor Megill Earned Runs Prop Bet
Tylor Megill is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in todays game.
