Tyler Alexander projections, stats and prop bet odds for Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays on Sep 20, 2024
Tyler Alexander Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -106
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -129
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
In MLB, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest.
With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Tyler Alexander will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
Among all SPs, Tyler Alexander's fastball velocity of 88.9 mph is in the 4th percentile this year.
With a 5.45 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things most within a pitcher's control), Tyler Alexander checks in at the 2nd percentile.
Collectively, Toronto Blue Jays batters have shined as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating 4th-best in MLB.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst field in MLB for base hits.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Tyler Alexander will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Tyler Alexander's high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (64.9% this year) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Tyler Alexander has been unlucky this year, posting a 5.58 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.83 — a 0.75 discrepancy.
Projection For Today's Tyler Alexander Earned Runs Prop Bet
Tyler Alexander is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.
Tyler Alexander Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -164
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: 128
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The Toronto Blue Jays have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Addison Barger, Davis Schneider, Joey Loperfido).
Tropicana Field profiles as the #6 field in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Tyler Alexander will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Tyler Alexander's high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (64.9% this year) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Tyler Alexander is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least on the slate today.
With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Tyler Alexander will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
In his last game started, Tyler Alexander didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.
Among all SPs, Tyler Alexander's fastball velocity of 88.9 mph is in the 4th percentile this year.
Tyler Alexander has compiled an 8.7% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.
Projection For Today's Tyler Alexander Strikeouts Prop Bet
Tyler Alexander is projected to have 3.9 Strikeouts in todays game.
