Houston Astros
02:10 PM
ATS Picks on April 5, 2025
Read Projection
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -105
Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
Spencer Arrighetti has averaged 92.8 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.
The Minnesota Twins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward
Brennan Miller projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums.
Target Field has the 5th-highest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Spencer Arrighetti will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Spencer Arrighetti has shown poor control since the start of last season, putting up a 7th percentile BB% of 10.6%.
Spencer Arrighetti is projected to have 15.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 5.5 over: -145
Strikeouts 5.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Spencer Arrighetti in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Spencer Arrighetti has averaged 92.8 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.
The Minnesota Twins have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Edouard Julien, Matt Wallner, Byron Buxton).
Brennan Miller projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 41°.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #10 park in the game for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Spencer Arrighetti will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Spencer Arrighetti is projected to have 5.9 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 1.5 over: -165
Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Spencer Arrighetti will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Placing 3rd-steepest in baseball since the start of last season, Minnesota Twins hitters jointly have compiled a 14.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The Minnesota Twins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward
Brennan Miller projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums.
Target Field has the 5th-highest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 41°.
Spencer Arrighetti is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-102) | ov 4.5 (100) | - | ov 4.5 (-105) | ov 4.5 (-103) | - |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 1.5 (-168) | ov 1.5 (-165) | - | ov 1.5 (-165) | - | - |
Total Outs Recorded | ov 17.5 (-103) | ov 17.5 (-105) | ov 16.5 (-125) | ov 17.5 (-105) | - | - |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 5.5 (-149) | ov 5.5 (-145) | ov 5.5 (-142) | ov 5.5 (-150) | ov 5.5 (-148) | ov 5.5 (-150) |
Walks Allowed | ov 2.5 (145) | ov 2.5 (145) | - | - | - | - |
