Mitch Keller projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds on Sep 20, 2024

Mitch Keller Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -121
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

Projected catcher Joey Bart grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 park in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in this matchup.

Mitch Keller's 2408-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Cincinnati Reds bats collectively rank near the cellar of Major League Baseball this year ( worst) as far as their 87.7-mph average exit velocity.

Projection For Today's Mitch Keller Earned Runs Prop Bet

Mitch Keller is projected to have 3.2 Earned Runs in todays game.


Mitch Keller Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -125
  • Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Mitch Keller has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in this matchup.

Mitch Keller's 2408-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Cincinnati Reds bats collectively rank near the cellar of Major League Baseball this year ( worst) as far as their 87.7-mph average exit velocity.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Projected catcher Joey Bart grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 park in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Projection For Today's Mitch Keller Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Mitch Keller is projected to have 15.8 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Mitch Keller Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 5.5 over: -108
  • Strikeouts 5.5 under: -118

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

Mitch Keller has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in this matchup.

Mitch Keller's 2408-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

Projected catcher Joey Bart grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Mitch Keller has used his cut-fastball 8.8% less often this year (15.5%) than he did last year (24.3%).

Projection For Today's Mitch Keller Strikeouts Prop Bet

Mitch Keller is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in todays game.